Resident film critic Jimmy Flynn dishes out his 2016 Oscar predictions
THE SANTA CLARA
February 26, 2016
Who Will Win: “Spotlight”
Who Should Win: “The Big Short”
“The Revenant” is also a possibility here, but it’s looking like “Spotlight” is going to steal the show. No matter how it shakes out, “The Big Short” is the one film that is going to endure past Sunday’s ceremony. McKay’s glimpse into the catalyst of the 2007 economic crash was the most relevant and engaging film of the year, and anyone who aspires to rake in a boatload of cash needs to see it.
Who Will Win: Alejandro G. Inarritu, “The Revenant”
Who Should Win: George Miller, “Mad Max: Fury Road”
Inarritu won last year for “Birdman” and is definitely the front-runner. If he prevails, he would be the third director to win the award in two consecutive years. But I’m pulling for George Miller, whose latest entry in the “Mad Max” franchise was the most visually stunning and thematically daring film not only of the year, but in recent memory. “Fury Road” is a masterpiece, and it will be an outrageous injustice if Miller loses out.
Who Will/Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant”
It’s time, already. He probably should have already won for “What’s Eating Gilbert Grape” and definitely should have won for “Django Unchained.” For his role in “The Revenant,” he slept in animal carcasses, ate raw bison liver and endured the threat of hypothermia. He does more with his eyes than most actors do with their entire bodies. I’d bet the farm on Leo.
Who Will Win: Cate Blanchett, “Carol”
Who Should Win: Brie Larson, “Room”
The Academy loves Cate Blanchett, with this being her seventh nomination. But the Academy also loves young actresses with loads of potential, which is good news for newcomer and 26-year-old Brie Larson, whose tour-de-force performance in “Room” has already earned her Best Actress accolades from the BAFTA and Golden Globes. I hope the best for Larson, but she’s a long shot.
Best Supporting Actor
Who Will Win: Mark Rylance, “Bridge of Spies”
Who Should Win: Tom Hardy, “The Revenant”
Rylance and Sylvester Stallone are heavily favored, but my money’s on Tom Hardy. His disturbed performance as John Fitzgerald matched up to Leo’s act in “The Revenant” and was accomplished in a fraction of the screen time. Even if Hardy loses out this year, it won’t be long before he takes home a golden statue.
Best Supporting Actress
Who Will Win: Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl”
Who Should Win: Jennifer Jason Leigh, “The Hateful Eight”
Vikander had a great year, turning in solid performances in both “The Danish Girl” and the overlooked “Ex Machina.” Jennifer Jason Leigh is the biggest longshot of all the nominees, but her hilariously frightening performance as the racist, murderous and manipulative Daisy Domergue was the best of the year. An Oscar would complete her comeback to acting.
Best Original Screenplay
Who Will Win: Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer, “Spotlight”
Who Should Win: Quentin Tarantino, “The Hateful Eight”
Tarantino’s not even nominated in this category, which is just bamboozling. “The Hateful Eight” was a sprawling, explosive literary masterpiece brought to life with a handful of terrific performances. It was the most inventive and quotable script of the year, and it’s a shame that the award will go to “Spotlight.”
Best Adapted Screenplay
Who Will/Should Win: Adam McKay and Charles Randolph, “The Big Short”
McKay might not win Best Picture or Best Director, but he’s a shoo-in for this award. Ever since his time at SNL and partnership with Will Ferrell, he’s been a terrific writer, setting him up to produce a perfect marriage of comedy and tragedy in his and Charles Rudolph’s adaptation of Michael Lewis’ book about the catastrophic housing and credit bubble. The script was fast, funny and just the right amount of frenetic. It entertained and enlightened, and it’s going to earn McKay his first Oscar.
Contact Jimmy Flynn at firstname.lastname@example.org or call (408) 554-4852.